Apr 28 '26, 10:10 PM in 8h

MLB | Marlins vs Dodgers

Play on: Marlins +247 at betonline

Game Analysis

Marlins vs Dodgers 
10;10 EST 
5-Unit bet on the Marlins priced as a 230-underdog. 

MLB Road Underdog Algorithm: Results and Criteria 

Algorithm Overview 

This Major League Baseball betting algorithm targets road underdogs with significant value. Since 2006, it has produced a 121-174 record, equating to a 41% win rate. Despite the lower win percentage, the average wager price of +194 has resulted in an 18% return on investment (ROI). For bettors staking $1,000 per game, this strategy has generated a profit of $64,480. Fans wagering $50 per game have earned $3,225 during the same period. 

Algorithm Criteria 

Bet on road underdogs priced at +150 or higher on the money line. 

The underdog team must have won between 70 and 82 games in the previous season. 

The team should be on a losing streak of two or more games. 

The opponent must be an elite team, defined as having won at least 60% of their games. 

RAYS and ORIOLES impressed me on Friday!  Could continue on Saturday??

I love the spot for the Tampa Bay Rays tonight.  They had yesterday off while the Minnesota Twins were completing a 3-game series in New York against the Mets.  All three of those games were decided by 2 runs or less, and each of their last six games have been decided by 3 runs or fewer so their suspect bullpen has had heavy usage.

The Rays have been a potent offensive team this season scoring 4.8 runs per game while scoring at least 5 runs in nine of their last 12 games overall.  They get to face their former teammate in Taj Bradley for the first time and will clearly have the perfect scouting report on him.  Look for this to be the game Bradley regresses in a major way.

Drew Rasmussen is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He has gone 1-0 with a 2.75 ERA and 0.61 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 19 2/3 innings.  Rasmussen has held the Twins to one earned run and 5 base runners in 8 innings in his last two starts against them.  Bet the Rays Friday.