Pirates vs. Yankees (Game 1, 1:05 PM) — 5 Units on Pittsburgh +150

Pittsburgh gets two shots today in this doubleheader, and the algorithm targets a specific inefficiency: heavily-priced favorites with strong power numbers in an interleague spot. New York fits: the Yankees hit well over 1.37 HR per game both last season and this one, and they're priced right in the required 140-190 range as favorites.

Algorithm: 28-28 (50% winners) since 2004, averaging a +145 underdog price, for $10,640 in Dime Bettor profit. As explained in the accompanying "Blackjack" breakdown — a coin-flip win rate at plus-money odds still produces real, sustainable profit purely because of the price, the same logic that separates smart sports betting from even-money casino games.

Hot: Pittsburgh took the season series opener from New York 8-5 on Monday behind a strong offensive push, showing this lineup can hang with New York's pitching staff. Cold: the Yankees' bullpen has shown some cracks in recent outings, and if New York's starter struggles early, Pittsburgh's lineup has enough thump to keep this competitive into the late innings.

Five units on the Pirates in Game 1.

Jul 21 '26, 7:07 PM in 7h

MLB | Rays vs Blue Jays

Play on: Rays -105 at betus

Rays vs Blue Jays Free Pick

The Angle(s): Rays righty Drew Rasmussen (7-5, 3.26 ERA) has a proven track record of neutralizing the heart of Toronto's lineup, limiting current Blue Jays hitters to a .232 average in 109 career plate appearances against them, including a .095 mark (2-for-21) with four strikeouts against George Springer.

Toronto counters with Kevin Gausman (4-8, 4.33 ERA), who has historically struggled against this specific Rays roster. Tampa Bay hitters are batting a collective .367 against Gausman in 116 career plate appearances, with Yandy Díaz (.389 in 20 PA) and Jonathan Aranda (.500 in 11 PA) both seeing the ball extremely well off him.

The Bet: Rays (3%). 

Released on Jul 21 at 10:01 am

Monday Mookie Betts 2 HR's and 3 Hits!  I stand CORRECTED!

Jul 20 '26, 8:40 PM in 9h

MLB | Nationals vs Rockies

Play on: Rockies +109 at Buckeye

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our Monday Free Play. Washington took two of three against the skidding Athletics and is just two games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Nationals have been a better road team this season but this is Coors Field where anything can happen. The Rockies took the middle game of their three-game series with the Reds and they continue to be respectable at home where they are 23-27 and those are only two fewer wins than all of last season. Kyle Freeland is coming off a pair of poor starts to end the first half but both of those were on the road and he has actually fared better this season at Coors Field. We are not saying it has been good by any stretch but he is on an equal playing field tonight as far as pitching goes. Andrew Alvarez has split time between starting and long relief and neither has been great with his 4.04 ERA and while has been better on the road with his 2.45 ERA, it has only been in 18.2 innings and not in Colorado. Play (908) Colorado Rockies