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Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (main event): Allen steps into the main event ready to wrestle Duncan into the kind of uncomfortable five-round date where one guy keeps asking for more grappling and the other keeps wishing the referee would just end the night early. Odds: Allen slight favorite (~-122). Pick: Allen ML (5 units).
LSU at Kentucky (2 units): Lane Kiffin’s Tigers roll into Lexington looking like the cool kid who showed up late to the party, stole the keg, and still covered by a mile while Kentucky’s offense spent half the night trying to remember its own playbook. Spread: LSU -8.5. Pick: LSU -8.5 (2 units).
Florida vs. South Carolina (2 units): The Gators host a Gamecocks squad that looks like it wandered into the Swamp by accident, then realized the alligators charge extra for running the ball and covering double-digit spreads. Spread: Florida -11.5. Pick: Florida -11.5 (2 units).
Indiana at Nebraska (1 unit): The undefeated Hoosiers visit Lincoln ready to treat Nebraska’s home fortress like a polite suggestion, leaving the Cornhuskers wondering if their “tough environment” comes with a side of covering 7.5. Spread: Indiana -7.5. Pick: Indiana -7.5 (1 unit).
Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina (1 unit): Spread: Pittsburgh -3.5. Pick: North Carolina -3.5 (1 unit).
Francisco Prado vs. Ismael Bonfim (1 unit): Prado is trying to end a losing streak against a fellow skid-rider, so expect the kind of chaotic lightweight scrap where one guy’s pressure meets the other’s “wait, which way is the cage again?” Odds: Prado around -135. Pick: Prado ML (1 unit).