Ready for Football - Here are my NFL picks after a day of UFC and boxing violence. Did the whole card.
High Tier Play (2 units)
Dallas −2.5 (1H) vs Giants — Dallas should control the first half on SNF
Chicago −3 at Carolina — the Bears are the better roster on the road
Bengals −2.5 (1H) vs Tampa Bay — Cincinnati’s home opener against a Bucs team that travels poorly is built to get out in front early.
Mid Tier Plays (1 unit)
Vikings −2.5 vs Green Bay — Minnesota at home in a rivalry game is a small number against a Packers side that still has to prove the new year on the road.
Steelers −6 vs Atlanta — Pittsburgh at home should handle a Falcons team that has not shown it can hang in a physical AFC North environment.
Saints +7 at Detroit — Detroit is the better team, but a touchdown is a lot to lay in Week 1 when New Orleans can keep it in one-score range.
Cardinals +9.5 at Chargers — that is too many points on the road in September against a Chargers team that still leaves games on the table.
Eagles −6 vs Washington — Philadelphia at home should separate from Washington without needing a blowout.
Low Tier Plays (0.5 unit)
Denver ML at Kansas City — if Mahomes is still working back, the Broncos are live to steal Monday night outright.
Browns +8.5 at Jacksonville — Jacksonville is the better side, but a field goal and a half is plenty of cushion for a messy Week 1 road dog.
Tennessee ML vs Jets — home Titans as a short favorite is the cleaner side of a low-total game against the Jets.
Texans ML vs Buffalo — Houston at home in a near-pick’em is worth the extra juice if Buffalo’s first road trip is sloppy.
Miami ML at Las Vegas — the Dolphins are getting plus money on the road against a Raiders team that is only a field-goal favorite.
