F&P getting ready for FOOTBALL! DUH! Looking for a FAST START in the NFL! I would like it if F&P added more plays throughout the day! We seem to be in a HURRY to LOCK IN! Maybe do more LATE RELEASES!
NY Mets @ Tampa Bay (6:40 PM EST) Play On: Tampa Bay -158
The New York Mets take on the Rays in Tampa Bay on Wednesday night. The Mets are 62-77 SU overall this year while Tampa Bay comes in with a 83-55 SU overall record on the season. Tampa Bay is 47-24 at home this year. The Mets are 1-14 last 2 years as an underdog of +150 or more including 1-10 this year. Justin Hagenman has an 8.31 ERA in his 1 start this year. Griffin Jax has a 1.80 ERA overall over the past month. Tampa Bay is 7-1 overall the past 3 years vs the Mets. We'll recommend a small play on Tampa Bay tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
The football case for NC State remains attractive, but the overall weighting is not sufficient for premium status.
Virginia has important personnel issues. Starting receiver Rico Flores Jr. is out. Running back/return specialist Solomon Beebe is unavailable, while impact linebacker Kam Robinson's return from a torn ACL remains an important variable.
NC State has the established quarterback in CJ Bailey, who exceeded 3,000 passing yards last season with a 25-to-9 touchdown/interception ratio.
However, 53% of spread bets are already taking NC State, so this is not a contrarian position. Virginia also possesses an extremely experienced offensive line protecting transfer quarterback Beau Pribula.
The personnel argument favors taking the points, but the complete premium-bet framework does not produce enough separation.